Russia’s “partial mobilization” order will make the US and its allies recalculate their steps.
Russia has complicated Western military calculations by announcing a “partial deployment” order for reservists. Expert Part Satam – an analyst at EurAsian Times made the above comment.
According to the author, during the seven months of the special military operation, Russia is still pursuing the goal of complete control of the Donbas region, as well as the Kherson and Zaporizhzhia regions of Ukraine.
At the same time, Moscow clearly understands that the United States and its Western allies will resolve the conflict in any way possible, they will provide more and more weapons and money to Kyiv, and it has been proven.
In order to frustrate the enemy’s plans, the Russian Federation made two important decisions: to conduct four “referendums” in the areas under its control and to declare a partial mobilization of its forces quantity.
“The upcoming referendums in Donbas, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia, as well as the partial mobilization of the reserve troops, clearly have complementary effects,”. Analyst Part Satam said that if the breakaway republics and Russian-occupied regions vote to join, they will be officially declared by Moscow to become the territory of the Russian Federation.
Legally, therefore, any further attack by Ukraine, especially using Western-supplied weapons, would be considered an attack on the territory of the Russian Federation.
At the same time, the Russian Army began to receive new forces after the announcement of partial mobilization. This means that Moscow will be able to send more troops to the areas it claims to be annexed from Ukraine.
“This complicates the military calculations of NATO, Europe, and the United States, who have repeatedly ruled out a direct war with Russia. The announcement from Moscow seems to have taken the West by surprise,” wrote journalist Part Satam.
Clearly, the West does not think that the Russian Federation will support the referendums and replenish its military. The United States and its allies hope that Russia will refuse to annex the Donnbass, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia regions.
In Washington’s opinion, Moscow will continue to fight with the same basic forces as at the beginning of the campaign, and the international community will exert more and more pressure. Now the situation has turned in a completely different direction.
The Indian analyst concludes: “The West has a direct risk of entering a war with Russia, because of that, the US and Ukraine are facing the risk of reaching a dead end.”
“It is not clear whether Russia expects military action against Ukraine and the United States, but expanding its borders will certainly require additional military forces.”
However, in the opposite direction, the US and the West have always insisted that they will never recognize the “referendums” or “territorial annexation” conducted by Russia, so their strategy for the Ukraine conflict will remain unchanged.